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Commentary

Jannick Malling and the Story Behind Public.com

Financial markets tend to oscillate like a pendulum, but recently, the fluctuations have intensified. For example, interest rates rapidly climbed from zero to 5%, and markets often alternate dramatically between despair and euphoria.

Decades-long policies concentrating wealth and incentivizing risk-taking are at the heart of these fluctuations. Central bank interventions, passive investing, and regulatory quirks have created fertile ground for dislocations and headline-grabbing events like the GameStop saga in 2021. For younger generations, these dynamics have been particularly tough. Millennials and Gen Z face delayed milestones, diminishing wealth, and growing skepticism about traditional, centralized financial structures.

Jannick Malling, co-founder and co-CEO of Public.com, aims to help investors adapt and thrive in this evolving landscape. In our latest podcast, Malling explains how Public engages a newer, active generation of investors.

You can watch the linked full video and/or read about some key points below.

Who is Jannick Malling?

Malling, of Danish descent, began his entrepreneurial journey in Copenhagen. His childhood curiosity about technology led him to build computers and explore the digital world. What started as a simple interest soon became a passion, as he began creating websites to organize video game meetups and help small businesses increase their visibility.

“You spend a lot of time in front of the computer, and you can’t be gaming 24/7,” he reflects. “So, when you’re not gaming, you’re just hanging out online, and I started to get excited about building websites. I wanted to design to solve problems, and this led to finding the design process so incredibly rewarding, interesting, and fulfilling that I just stayed with it my whole life.”

Unconventional for a 17-year-old, Malling later entered the professional world by joining Saxo Bank, a fintech that radically transformed investing in Europe. The experience was incredibly formative, teaching Malling about work ethic and the importance of speed, adaptability, and user-centric design—principles that continue to guide him at Public today.

Malling parallels his experience after Saxo Bank with that of the PayPal Mafia, a group of former PayPal employees who went on to shape the tech and venture capital worlds. Like PayPal’s Peter Thiel, Reid Hoffman, and Elon Musk, Malling and his Saxo Bank colleagues stayed connected, collaborating on new ventures after leaving the company.

Why build Public.com?

After co-founding and building several companies, Malling took a break and moved to New York City. Frustrated with managing his portfolio as a retail investor, he realized fractional shares could ease rebalancing and dollar-cost averaging for everyday investors. Inspired by this insight, he designed mockups for an app with a Venmo-like user experience. This ultimately became Public.com.

“I think there’s always been this overarching trend of leveling the playing field between institutions and individual investors,” Malling explains, highlighting Public’s focus on providing better information, community, and access at a lower cost. “Now, the question is what they should buy and why, which is where the research comes in.”

Retail brokerage platforms usually offer research, which can be challenging for investors without financial expertise. However, thanks to recent AI advancements, Public has enhanced its offerings, introducing products like Alpha.

“When ChatGPT came out, our imaginations were captured, and we started tinkering with this intersection of research and LLM interfaces,” he says. “Now, you can go to a stock on Public and ask any question. It’ll answer immediately, scanning the earnings files, financials, and analyst ratings. The process of researching a company is so much higher quality, and we’ve been able to drive AI hallucinations to basically zero, improving trust.”

Alpha has proven so effective in answering investor questions that Public launched it as a standalone platform. Those with a Public account can access Alpha for free, while those without can subscribe for just $1 weekly.

“Just screenshot your Apple Stocks, and Alpha auto-follows all those stocks, constantly scanning and telling you not just if they’re moving, but why they’re moving. That’s a great example of how AI can enhance the research experience without requiring people to dig too deep, creating more informed investors.”

Why did Public ditch PFOF?

In 2021, Public discontinued payments for order flow (PFOF). This decision underscores a more significant concern: the shortcomings of the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) system, which represents the best available bid and offer prices for equities across U.S. exchanges, serving as a benchmark for order execution.

The NBBO was created long before retail investing and zero-commission trading rocketed. Malling notes that it is based on market volumes of 100 shares or more, leaving out much of the current retail trading activity, like fractional and smaller trades. Although retail trading now accounts for a substantial share of market volume—sometimes over 40%—the NBBO does not adjust to this; firms complying with NBBO standards may provide prices that are not the best available.

“Retail makes up a much larger part of the market, but the NBBO doesn’t consider that in its reference price,” Malling explains. “So, sort of the hurdle that you have to clear is a little broken, which means that some firms can say, ‘Hey, we gave you the NBBO,’ but there may be a price that nobody else sees that’s lower than that.”

However, Public continues using the PFOF model in options trading, which works differently.

“In the options world, orders must be posted to an exchange, which creates more competition and drives better customer outcomes,” Malling explains. Public also shares up to 50% of its order flow rebates with customers. “You make what we make on your flow, so for those customers, it’s just incredibly transparent.

How does Public launch quicker?

Last year, Public launched a significant new feature roughly every ten days. Malling attributes this speed and adaptability—such as launching options on cash-settled indexes and Bitcoin in just over two weeks—to the company’s horizontal tech stack, lean team, and commitment to minimizing technical debt.

“Most big players in the space rack up technical debt, which happens when code is written in a way that makes it hard to maintain or further develop,” Malling elaborates. “To add new products, you’re forced to rewrite entire features, which slows down product velocity. Our engineers are allergic to that. By building a horizontal stack, we can move much more quickly.”

Partnerships that mitigate risks in everything from clearing to custody bolster this adaptability, enabling Public to concentrate on providing valuable features like seamless, real-time money transfers across asset classes, unified performance reporting, and tax optimization tools—all accessible via a single login for multiple account types, including cash, margin, IRA, and trust accounts.

What’s Public positioning for?

Looking ahead, Malling sees enormous opportunity in the ~$100 trillion wealth transfer from Baby Boomers to Millennials and Gen Z. These generations grew up with information at their fingertips and distrust in traditional financial structures. Accordingly, they seek alternatives like DIY investing, which, as was discussed, Public is making easier.

“This shift will redefine how wealth is managed. Younger generations are fundamentally different in how they approach investing, prioritizing transparency, technology, and self-direction,” he says. “Now, I have all the tools in the world to do it myself, which is the simple one-two punch that puts this generation on a fundamentally different path.”

For more, please consider watching the YouTube interview. Jannick Malling can be followed on LinkedIn and Twitter/X. Thank you!


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Categories
Commentary

Daily Brief For April 28, 2022

The Daily Brief is a free glimpse into the prevailing fundamental and technical drivers of U.S. equity market products. Join the 200+ that read this report daily, below!

What Happened

Overnight, equity index futures auctioned sideways-to-higher alongside some upbeat earnings announcements.

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: FB) surged post-market, yesterday, after its main social network Facebook added more users than expected. 

PayPal Holdings Inc (NYSE: PYPL) vowed to rein in costs and boost profits while Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ: QCOM) rose on an upbeat forecast.

There’s a strong push-and-pull between what’s good and bad. File Deutsche Bank’s (NYSE: DB) recent comments on a pending recession under what’s bad.

The bank sees the Fed Target Rate reaching up to 6% which “will push the economy into a significant recession by late next year.”

Graphic updated 7:00 AM ET. Sentiment Risk-On if expected /ES open is above the prior day’s range. Sentiment Risk-Off if expected /ES open is below the prior day’s range. /ES levels are derived from the profile graphic at the bottom of the following section. Levels may have changed since initially quoted; click here for the latest levels. SqueezeMetrics Dark Pool Index (DIX) and Gamma (GEX) calculations are based on where the prior day’s reading falls with respect to the MAX and MIN of all occurrences available. A higher DIX is bullish. At the same time, the lower the GEX, the more (expected) volatility. Learn the implications of volatility, direction, and moneyness. SHIFT data used for S&P 500 (INDEX: SPX) options activity. Note that options flow is sorted by the call premium spent; if more positive, then more was spent on call options. Breadth reflects a reading of the prior day’s NYSE Advance/Decline indicator. VIX reflects a current reading of the CBOE Volatility Index (INDEX: VIX) from 0-100.

What To Expect

Fundamental: Divergences across different assets and markets continue.

For instance, the equity market’s pricing of risk which we can take as being reflected by the CBOE Volatility Index [INDEX: VIX]) is not moving lock-step with that of measures elsewhere.

Graphic: Via Bloomberg.

The fear in one market tends to spread to others. Regardless of the cause, it seems that equity and bond market participants are not on the same page.

Is that really true, though? Not necessarily. 

If we look at some single stocks, Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX), among others (all the while S&P 500 earnings have been revised up) has suffered through a substantial de-rate and volatility as participants priced the implications of policy evolution, slower economic growth, and beyond.

Graphic: Via JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM). Taken from The Market Ear.

That has us returning to pinning at the index level, relative to what the constituents are doing.

As well explained in Physik Invest’s March 3, 2022 commentary, this is more so a function of positioning and structural flows, or supply of liquidity.

Absent some exogenous event, participants are well-hedged for what is known (e.g., rate hikes and quantitative tightening (QT), COVID resurgences, Russia and Ukraine, among other things).

The caveat is that the Federal Reserve is far more aggressive than expected, ramping up QT, “a direct flow of capital to capital markets or flow out of,” per Kai Volatility’s Cem Karsan. 

For context, it is the intention to take from the max liquidity (which pushed participants out of the risk curve and promoted a divergence from fundamentals) markets were supplied with, and this has the effect of removing market excesses, some of which have fed into volatility markets.

In part, some of the QT has been reflected in bond prices, JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) explains. However, should there be far more aggressive monetary action, as Deutsche research suggests, coupled with a worsening of the geopolitical and/or economic situation abroad (e.g., Russian default), markets are likely to succumb.

“Using the balance sheet as a tightening tool represents a large change in the Fed’s attitude, and IS NOT priced into the market,” MacroTourist’s Kevin Muir adds.

“An increase in the pace of tightening of QT should mean lower stocks, wider credit spreads, and a slight reduction in the need for front-end hikes.”

Graphic: Via Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS). Taken from The Market Ear. The “Nasdaq has underperformed the S&P 500 but by less than what the move in real yields would suggest.”

Positioning: Volatility to continue as markets have traded lower and participants have priced up the cost of insurance – particularly at the short-end – on underlying equity exposure.

Graphic: SPX volatility term structure via Refinitiv. Taken from The Market Ear.

This is due to options delta (exposure to direction) being far more sensitive (gamma) across shorter time horizons (i.e., the range across which options deltas shift from “near-zero to near-100% becomes very narrow.”)

Yesterday, markets were pinned after exploring lower in the days prior. The activity was concentrated in short-dated bets at those levels, and that’s in part a result of some of the hedging that went on.

Graphic: Via SpotGamma’s Hedging Impact of Real-Time Options Indicator.

If markets do not perform to the downside (i.e., do not trade lower), those short-dated bets on direction will quickly decay, and hedging flows with respect to time (charm) and volatility (vanna) may bolster sharp rallies.

Whether those price rises have legs depends on what the fundamental situation is, then. Regardless, the returns distribution, based on implied volatility metrics alone, is skewed positive, albeit there are some large negative outliers.

Graphic: Via @HalfersPower. “In backwardation via $VIX: $VIX3M next month [realized volatility] is highest amongst the deciles (d10 >1) ~43% subsequent realized volatility.”

Technical: As of 7:00 AM ET, Thursday’s regular session (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET), in the S&P 500, will likely open in the middle part of a positively skewed overnight inventory, just inside of prior-range and -value, suggesting a limited potential for immediate directional opportunity.

In the best case, the S&P 500 trades higher; activity above the $4,236.25 regular trade high (RTH High) puts in play the $4,267.75 RTH High. Initiative trade beyond the $4,267.75 RTH High could reach as high as the $4,303.75 overnight high (ONH) and $4,337.00 untested point of control (VPOC), or higher.

In the worst case, the S&P 500 trades lower; activity below the $4,236.25 RTH High puts in play the $4,191.00 VPOC. Initiative trade beyond the VPOC could reach as low as the $4,136.00 regular trade low (RTH Low) and $4,101.25 overnight low (ONL), or lower.

Click here to load today’s key levels into the web-based TradingView charting platform. Note that all levels are derived using the 65-minute timeframe. New links are produced, daily.
Graphic: 65-minute profile chart of the Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures.

Considerations: Markets are higher after testing some key levels outlined in prior letters.

The Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ), one of the weakest products this letter monitors, just tested a major VWAP, yesterday, anchored from the lows of March 2020. 

Graphic: Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ) with anchored VWAPs.

The Nasdaq has led the market down. It may lead the market higher on reversals. We’ll continue to monitor market breadth, among other metrics, for signs of strength.

Definitions

Overnight Rally Highs (Lows): Typically, there is a low historical probability associated with overnight rally-highs (lows) ending the upside (downside) discovery process.

Volume Areas: A structurally sound market will build on areas of high volume (HVNodes). Should the market trend for long periods of time, it will lack sound structure, identified as low volume areas (LVNodes). LVNodes denote directional conviction and ought to offer support on any test. 

If participants were to auction and find acceptance into areas of prior low volume (LVNodes), then future discovery ought to be volatile and quick as participants look to HVNodes for favorable entry or exit.

Gamma: Gamma is the sensitivity of an option to changes in the underlying price. Dealers that take the other side of options trades hedge their exposure to risk by buying and selling the underlying. When dealers are short-gamma, they hedge by buying into strength and selling into weakness. When dealers are long-gamma, they hedge by selling into strength and buying into weakness. The former exacerbates volatility. The latter calms volatility.

Vanna: The rate at which the delta of an option changes with respect to volatility.

Charm: The rate at which the delta of an option changes with respect to time.

POCs: POCs are valuable as they denote areas where two-sided trade was most prevalent in a prior day session. Participants will respond to future tests of value as they offer favorable entry and exit.

Volume-Weighted Average Prices (VWAPs): A metric highly regarded by chief investment officers, among other participants, for quality of trade. Additionally, liquidity algorithms are benchmarked and programmed to buy and sell around VWAPs.

About

After years of self-education, strategy development, mentorship, and trial-and-error, Renato Leonard Capelj began trading full-time and founded Physik Invest to detail his methods, research, and performance in the markets.

Capelj also develops insights around impactful options market dynamics at SpotGamma and is a Benzinga reporter.

Some of his works include conversations with ARK Invest’s Catherine Wood, investors Kevin O’Leary and John Chambers, FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried, Kai Volatility’s Cem Karsan, The Ambrus Group’s Kris Sidial, among many others.

Disclaimer

In no way should the materials herein be construed as advice. Derivatives carry a substantial risk of loss. All content is for informational purposes only.