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Commentary

Market Commentary For 11/24/2020

Daily commentary for U.S. broad market indices.

What Happened: Alongside preparations to nominate former Fed chair Janet Yellen for Treasury secretary, as well as hopes for an economic recovery on COVID-19 coronavirus vaccines, U.S. index futures added to Monday’s v-shape recovery.

What Does It Mean: After a failure to accept Friday’s late-day spike, participants established an excess-low near the micro-composite high-volume node, the fairest price to do business in prior trade. Since then, initiative buyers broke the three-day balance-area high and drove through the low-volume node at $3,580. The subsequent activity found acceptance in the 11/18 profile, suggesting a change in near-term directional conviction.

As a result, participants come into Tuesday’s day session knowing that the market has made a substantial advance, gapping up to the $3,610 high-volume concentration which denotes value and supply.

Higher prices should allow responsive sellers a favorable opportunity to sell and initiative buyers a favorable area to take profit. An initiative drive through this area would be the most bullish outcome, and would target first the $3,630 balance-area high, and then the November rally high.

Levels Of Interest: $3,580 low-volume node, $3,610 high-volume node, $3,630 balance-area high, $3,668.75 rally high.

Bonus Graphics: There is more than meets the eye.

Graphic by Goldman Sachs, from The Market Ear; sentiment stretched, risk is moderate.
Graphic by CNN, from The Market Ear; “Markets do not crash on fear.”
Ready for the Santa rally - but first some Thanksgiving
Graphic by Goldman Sachs, from The Market Ear; bears have seasonality to fight.
Graphic by Deutsche Bank, from The Market Ear; “soon we have no shorts left.”
Graphic by Spotgamma, from The Market Ear; SPX $3,600 to be sticky.

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